Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.761180 10.854609 12.031315 13.393627 14.929683 16.610633 18.592982
2025-07-13 8.339125 9.871436 11.638364 13.834232 16.500688 19.647031 23.660556
2025-07-20 7.273818 9.091969 11.319326 14.267391 18.094554 22.932372 29.570163
2025-07-27 6.351013 8.328434 10.884425 14.464281 19.402448 26.052981 35.820728
2025-08-03 5.499135 7.521100 10.261311 14.297708 20.178899 28.570823 41.697110
2025-08-10 4.802726 6.819487 9.670948 14.067269 20.801334 30.937067 47.752303
2025-08-17 4.236939 6.222444 9.139315 13.827548 21.346989 33.240525 54.095336
2025-08-24 3.792495 5.744200 8.714072 13.675040 21.981440 35.748798 61.197648
2025-08-31 3.441770 5.363907 8.385947 13.619499 22.745057 38.558644 69.312411
2025-09-07 3.217060 5.153996 8.297447 13.936719 24.170666 42.707003 80.641189
2025-09-14 2.947205 4.838222 7.994699 13.838536 24.831826 45.558164 90.000809
2025-09-21 2.679596 4.496737 7.608095 13.535994 25.060862 47.608826 98.106418
2025-09-28 2.457129 4.215600 7.304783 13.364178 25.547551 50.308459 108.320959
2025-10-05 2.342021 4.112905 7.309531 13.776878 27.257536 55.803953 126.055980
2025-10-12 2.236664 4.016634 7.314642 14.190024 29.032967 61.757270 146.312756
2025-10-19 2.112895 3.873020 7.213631 14.373850 30.345848 66.918675 165.888608
2025-10-26 1.961525 3.661575 6.957917 14.200819 30.839783 70.269281 181.572262
2025-11-02 1.819398 3.454712 6.689943 13.967255 31.159238 73.257199 197.030602
2025-11-09 1.690732 3.262851 6.433187 13.726329 31.425167 76.161092 213.018020
2025-11-16 1.582490 3.102731 6.226520 13.573073 31.882093 79.644797 231.699674
2025-11-23 1.492505 2.972356 6.070054 13.516705 32.574127 83.889358 253.970895
2025-11-30 1.440273 2.916759 6.069618 13.830401 34.271961 91.251961 288.679723
2025-12-07 1.360070 2.793967 5.908515 13.732497 34.859362 95.546712 314.156632